Tag Archives: NCEP

Climate Change & Anthropocene Extinction 28: If the Amazon goes, so may Africa’s rainforests

The Congolese rainforests are the world’s second largest remaining tropical rainforest expanse and a 60 gigatonne carbon store. Although climate models have a hard time predicting rainfall changes over the Congo Basin and despite a multi-decade drying trend, these forests … Continue reading →

Climate Record Update: Did northern hemisphere breach +2C climate target in early March, or did we ‘just’ breach +1.5?

Baselines, baselines, baselines, everyone. What goes for emission reduction targets also goes for temperature measurements: Let’s stick together! The graph in our first post had some fawlty measurements. But we STILL breached pre-industrial +2(!) Take a close look at below … Continue reading →

Extreme Climate Warning: Northern hemisphere has just breached the pre-industrial +2 degrees climate target – leave rest of fossil carbon in the ground, negative emissions needed

UPDATE: Graph was flawed, but northern hemisphere did breach 2 degrees Just two days ago we had our (‘mildest’/’warmest’/’hottest ever recorded’) winter update, based on the surpassing global temperature records for December, January – and the preliminary data for February. … Continue reading →

This image shows it all. El Niño from May, intensifying over 2014

The below image was released by NOAA yesterday, 7 April 2014. It shows the NCEP climate model is anticipating the arrival of this Kelvin wave – and that El Niño will surface around May 2014 and likely intensify during the boreal summer … Continue reading →