Observed vs ‘Real’ Global Temperature. What thermometers do & don’t yet show!

After a perceived ‘temperature plateau‘ of about a decade, global temperatures seem to be rising faster than ever before. First 2014 broke the global record for hottest year (then held by 2010). Then 2015 broke that record. And 2016 in … Continue reading

Real Global Temperature Trend, p19 – There is hot, hotter, hottest – and 2016: dangerously close to pre-industrial +1.5 degrees…

The 19th edition of our global temperature trend series is ‘just a graph’. That is because we are still overwhelmed by Break Free 2016. And because some graphs simply speak for themselves. The progression of the 2016 hottest year global … Continue reading

Real Global Temperature Trend, p14 – Just one more to go and world has 12 monthly records in a row – temperature jump +0.2 degrees

Yes, if you would extrapolate the global temperature “trend” line from early 2015 to early 2016, you would look at a 20 degrees Celsius warming over the century. March broke the record of all Marches. February broke the record of … Continue reading

Real Global Temperature Trend, p12 – March breaks February record, says JMA. Have +1C peaks become new monthly norm?

We knew that in early March the northern hemisphere broke the 2 degrees pre-industrial temperature limit. We did not expect it would also break February’s global record. But it did. According to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) that ‘insane temperature … Continue reading

Real Global Temperature Trend, p6 – THIS is the line you get when you combine ALL (established) temperature measurements

You know about our series by now. We’re investigating the ‘Real Global Temperature Trend‘. That means, as we swim through a turbulent ocean of climate records, we want to maintain a clear view on the horizon – to see where … Continue reading

Searching for Real Global Temperature Trend amidst storm of climate records, part 1 – Likelihood: “99.9999%” there IS a trend

It’s 2016 now and 2016 is becoming a whole different story than 2015, that in turn was a whole different story than 2014. But still, also heat-record-breaking 2014 remains an interesting case – as that year broke the then-proclaimed temperature … Continue reading

Important update: Here is why crazy February temperature record is NOT the result of El Niño

Yesterday we pointed out that it is odd that it is actually the NASA GISS temperature dataset that shows the largest temperature anomaly for February 2016, namely 1.35 degrees Celsius above the 1955-1980 baseline. Indeed, a monthly deviation that really … Continue reading

NASA GISS data shows most insane spike on global average temperature for February 2016

We’ve written about the insane temperature records for January and February 2016 before. But judging by the well-established dataset of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies – we may have underestimated the extremity of the temperature deviation still:

Climate Record Update: Did northern hemisphere breach +2C climate target in early March, or did we ‘just’ breach +1.5?

Baselines, baselines, baselines, everyone. What goes for emission reduction targets also goes for temperature measurements: Let’s stick together! The graph in our first post had some fawlty measurements. But we STILL breached pre-industrial +2(!) Take a close look at below … Continue reading

Extreme Climate Warning: Northern hemisphere has just breached the pre-industrial +2 degrees climate target – leave rest of fossil carbon in the ground, negative emissions needed

UPDATE: Graph was flawed, but northern hemisphere did breach 2 degrees Just two days ago we had our (‘mildest’/’warmest’/’hottest ever recorded’) winter update, based on the surpassing global temperature records for December, January – and the preliminary data for February. … Continue reading