Breaking Science Flash: Mexico’s Cyclone Patricia could become STRONGEST HURRICANE ever measured – ‘Category 6′

[Edit: Hurricane behaviour is notoriously hard to predict. After reaching extreme wind speeds above the Pacific, hurricane Patricia quickly disintegrated above land. The main damage might now be in extreme rainfall, flooding and possible mudslides - no longer direct wind … Continue reading

Climate graph of the day shows both global temperature trend and dramatic extent of unfolding 2015 global heat record

Today’s Graph of the Day shows that all those climate deniers that spoke of ‘the global temperature plateau‘ (as some weird ‘evidence’ that climate change would not be real, busted on numerous occasions) should openly admit they were wrong – as … Continue reading

Breaking: the summer of 2015 (June, July & August) was globally hottest summer ever. August hottest August ever-measured, also third highest deviation for any month

The August 2015 global data of NOAA (full report) are just in. It was another record-hot month – the hottest August ever measured – already the 6th month of 2015 to be higher than any other previously recorded (February, March, … Continue reading

To shear or not to shear – these 5 images show El Niño’s possible effect on Atlantic hurricanes, and other jet stream stuff

Ten years after Katrina* the world is on the brink of a whole new cluster of climatic disasters, including wide-spread coral bleaching, Pacific atol floods, possibly another devasting Brazil drought and another record-breaking hot year, following from the currently developing … Continue reading

Global 2015-2016 winter forecast: comparing NCEP model runs to NOAA’s ‘typical El Niño patterns’ – Brazil in for shock, little relief for California

Normally we think of droughts over South East Asia (i.e. Borneo) and north-eastern Australia (Queensland) associated with strong El Niño events. This for instance led to dramatic fires through the tropical rainforests of Borneo, during the last ‘Super El Niño’ … Continue reading

Halfway through and 2014 Hottest Year Prediction coming very close to Truth

Okay, disclaimer first: there may be a bit of a climate ego involved in this post. So therefore it is probably best to start with where we were wrong(ish). Based on some rather extensive monitoring of climate models over several … Continue reading

This image shows it all. El Niño from May, intensifying over 2014

The below image was released by NOAA yesterday, 7 April 2014. It shows the NCEP climate model is anticipating the arrival of this Kelvin wave – and that El Niño will surface around May 2014 and likely intensify during the boreal summer … Continue reading