Graph of the day: Arctic has warmest winter on record

Usually winter climate news from the Arctic comes somewhere in March, at the turning point of seasons, when we can precisely compare the annual sea ice maximum to that of other years. But this year we know it’s gonna be bad, in advance – with record-high temperatures both in December and January, continuing and at the onset of the third proper winter month, February.

Shown below is the declining sea ice trend for the month of January since satellite measurements began, in 1979.

Arctic sea ice trend for January - record low for 2016
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Dear Media, there is just ONE THING World Leaders Need To Do this December: Unite On Climate

We – the one million silenced voices, the one million people who this December were planning to march on Paris to call for climate justice – have a request, to the world media. For once. Just for once. For this last portion of 2015. For these two December weeks…

Kindly, just for once, try to zoom all your cameras out from the Middle East and the wider world’s involvement with that region – and finally take, for all of us to see, a good shot of our whole, shared perspective: muslims, christians, atheists, jews, buddhists, quakers, bakers, candlestick makers, dolphins, butterflies, spiders, tadpoles, plants and grass and rocks. Earth.

Dear media, please show Earth's perspective

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Graph of the day illustrates countries should sacrifice ‘growth’ during COP21, the Paris climate summit

World atmospheric CO2 concentration rise, 2015
This CO2 concentration graph was released today in a report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) – let’s say the folks that really know about the atmosphere – at the eve of ‘COP21′, the UN climate conference that will be held in Paris in December. Their report contains a very unmasked political message we should all take at heart in this important climate year.

When WMO Secretary General Michel Jarraud adds the below three quotes to its release – you get a feel that even the top scientists with high-ranking positions in society are as worried as we are:

“Every year we report a new record in greenhouse gas concentrations. Every year we say that time is running out – we have to act NOW to slash greenhouse gas emissions if we are to have a chance to keep the increase in temperatures to manageable levels.”

“We can’t see CO2. It is an invisible threat, but a very real one. It means hotter global temperatures, more extreme weather events like heatwaves and floods, melting ice, rising sea levels and increased acidity of the oceans. This is happening now and we are moving into unchartered territory at a frightening speed.”

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Breaking Science Flash: Mexico’s Cyclone Patricia could become STRONGEST HURRICANE ever measured – ‘Category 6′

[Edit: Hurricane behaviour is notoriously hard to predict. After reaching extreme wind speeds above the Pacific, hurricane Patricia quickly disintegrated above land. The main damage might now be in extreme rainfall, flooding and possible mudslides - no longer direct wind damage. The Pacific Ocean is breaking several cyclone records this year. Meanwhile Atlantic hurricanes are rather silent. Read more in our special article about the influence of El Niño on Atlantic hurricanes.]

Cyclone Patricia: Strongest Pacific hurricane - yet another 2015 climate record
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Climate graph of the day shows both global temperature trend and dramatic extent of unfolding 2015 global heat record

Today’s Graph of the Day shows that all those climate deniers that spoke of ‘the global temperature plateau‘ (as some weird ‘evidence’ that climate change would not be real, busted on numerous occasions) should openly admit they were wrong – as real climate scientists have explained all along. (Same goes for all the media that helped spread the deniers doubt!) Hats off to New York Times for setting a higher climate-reporting standard and creating this very illustrative graph:

Climate graph of global temperature trend and 2015 heat record
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This is what carbon climate feedbacks look like! Atmospheric monitoring shows dramatic 2015 CO2 emissions record unfolding

Welcome to the future. 2015: The hottest year on record. With a likely coral bleaching record. And sadly also the year with a likely extreme CO2 emissions record. Because, using satellites, we can see the very positive carbon climate feedbacks [the ones that can create the feared runaway warming scenario] already in live action – on a globally significant scale, just two months before world leaders meet in Paris to agree on a new international climate treaty, during the COP21 climate summit in December in Paris.

carbon climate feedbacks prompting 2015 CO2 emissions record
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Continuation of Indonesian forest fires could increase global CO2 emissions by 29% – as El Niño and drought intensify over rest of 2015

The year 2015 will be the hottest on record. You’ve probably heard that by now. What does not receive media attention is that 2015 is likely to also bring a dramatic peaking record in global anthropogenic CO2 emissions, if we add ‘land use change’ [a nice phrase for slash & burn] to global fossil fuel emissions [to the atmosphere of course there's little difference]. Again all this adds to a very dramatic background to the Paris climate negotiations at the end of this year.

Not only a polluting haze, also enormous amounts of CO2 are released by Indonesian forest fires in 2015
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Indonesian wildfires set to continue – IRI forecast paints heavily shaken global climate system during COP21

When world leaders gather in Paris from November 30 to December 12/13 to negotiate a new UN climate treaty the urgency of that matter is very likely to create its own headlines across the globe, if you’d connect the brown and the blue dots on the map below:

COP21 climate forecast: extreme weather events during Paris climate summit!
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